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Current Win Probability
Ballarat Miners 53.6%
Geelong United 46.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
44.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ballarat Miners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Geelong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballarat Miners than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ballarat Miners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Geelong United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ballarat Miners - Geelong United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:89
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballarat won 2.
Ballarat is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Geelong's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ballarat won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1018:1028. (average 78.3:79.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ballarat won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 619:601. (average 77.4:75.1).
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