Match Info

LFB Women - Round 14

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Escola Secundaria de Barcelos (Barcelos)


	Barcelos		GDESSA Barreiro

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	1.88	1.8
	1.86	1.81	Watch
	1.9	1.78
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.74)	1.81 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 140.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelos
49.3%

GDESSA Barreiro
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

GDESSA Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelos than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GDESSA Barreiro than the current prediction. (-4%)

Barcelos - GDESSA Barreiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Bompastor A.	10. Burns M.
21. Mogensen M.	13. Costa M.
35. Sengo V.	11. Oliveira M.
3. Taylor R.	0. Park-Lane L.
23. Villalobos Estrada K.	4. Umabano M. (C)
Substitutes
57. Azulay J.	2. Cabrita S.
24. Costa A. (C)	9. Cabrita T.
9. Matos M.	77. Casinha L.
22. Santos T.	6. Rafferty A.
8. Silva M.	18. Rosa F.
1. Silva M.	12. Vieira L.
13. Teixeira M.
Coaches
. Dias P.	. Martins A.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barcelos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 311:359. (average 62.2:71.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 119:142. (average 59.5:71).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Barcelos W	1	0	1	71:81	1
11	Gdessa Barreiro W	1	0	1	65:79	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basquete de Barcelos
Portuguese LFB
28.12.25	Barcelos - Galitos	71:69 ✺
21.12.25	Barcelos - União Sportiva	97:72 ✺
13.12.25	Benfica - Barcelos	66:60 ✺
08.12.25	Barcelos - Esgueira	68:60 ✺
06.12.25	Sporting Lisbon - Barcelos	74:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- GDESSA Barreiro
Portuguese LFB
28.12.25	GDESSA Barreiro - Imortal	76:72 ✺
20.12.25	Galitos - GDESSA Barreiro	59:60 ✺
08.12.25	GDESSA Barreiro - União Sportiva	78:77 ✺
06.12.25	GDESSA Barreiro - Quinta Dos Lombos	63:84 ✺
30.11.25	Benfica - GDESSA Barreiro	66:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
19.10.25	GDESSA Barreiro - Barcelos	69:70
01.02.25	GDESSA Barreiro - Barcelos	78:63
02.11.24	Barcelos - GDESSA Barreiro	55:65
10.12.23	Barcelos - GDESSA Barreiro	64:77
05.10.23	GDESSA Barreiro - Barcelos	70:59

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