Match Info

LFB Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Pavilhao Municipal Luis de Carvalho (Barreiro)


	GDESSA Barreiro		União Sportiva

	1	2
	1.37	2.69
	1.41	2.62	Watch
	1.36	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.59)	2.62 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 137.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GDESSA Barreiro
65.5%

União Sportiva
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GDESSA Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GDESSA Barreiro's performance.

União Sportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União Sportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GDESSA Barreiro than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GDESSA Barreiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Sportiva than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União Sportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

GDESSA Barreiro - União Sportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:66

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Burns M.	4. Carvalho M.
13. Costa M.	28. Goncalves C.
11. Oliveira M.	11. Monique
0. Park-Lane L.	8. Nascimento I.
4. Umabano M. (C)	2. Rivera G.
Substitutes
2. Cabrita S.	21. Ferreira S. (C)
9. Cabrita T.	17. Gaislerova M.
77. Casinha L.	6. Martins A.
3. Ferreira L.	7. Rodrigues R.
16. Ramos D.	27. Serralheiro L.
18. Rosa F.
12. Vieira L.
Coaches
. Martins A.	. Botelho R.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GDESSA Barreiro won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

GDESSA Barreiro could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, GDESSA Barreiro won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1325:1296. (average 69.7:68.2).

Including home matches between the teams, GDESSA Barreiro won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 654:635. (average 72.7:70.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Gdessa Barreiro W	1	0	1	65:79	1
12	Uniao Sportiva W	1	0	1	58:73	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GDESSA Barreiro
Portuguese LFB
11.04.26	GDESSA Barreiro - União Sportiva	84:80 ✺
04.04.26	União Sportiva - GDESSA Barreiro	74:68 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
28.03.26	União Sportiva - GDESSA Barreiro	66:87 ✺
Portuguese LFB
22.03.26	GDESSA Barreiro - Madeira	81:50 ✺
07.03.26	União Sportiva - GDESSA Barreiro	68:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL
- Clube União Sportiva
Portuguese LFB
11.04.26	GDESSA Barreiro - União Sportiva	84:80 ✺
04.04.26	União Sportiva - GDESSA Barreiro	74:68 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
28.03.26	União Sportiva - GDESSA Barreiro	66:87 ✺
Portuguese LFB
22.03.26	Galitos - União Sportiva	59:60 ✺
07.03.26	União Sportiva - GDESSA Barreiro	68:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
11.04.26	GDESSA Barreiro - União Sportiva	84:80
04.04.26	União Sportiva - GDESSA Barreiro	74:68
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
28.03.26	União Sportiva - GDESSA Barreiro	66:87
Portuguese LFB
07.03.26	União Sportiva - GDESSA Barreiro	68:61
08.12.25	GDESSA Barreiro - União Sportiva	78:77
16.02.25	União Sportiva - GDESSA Barreiro	47:63
17.11.24	GDESSA Barreiro - União Sportiva	75:71 OT

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