Match Info

PORTUGAL: Proliga - Round 9

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Vítor Domingos (Lavradio)


	Barreirense		Madeira

	1	2
	2.5	1.45
	3.03	1.32
			Watch
	2.84	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.91)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreirense
33.2%

Madeira
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Madeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Barreirense - Madeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Caetano F.	28. Leite L.
7. Costa P.	10. Moreira A.
73. Downs M.	33. Oliveira J.
5. Oliveira R.	3. Porter M.
2. Pereira J.	1. Savarino M.
Substitutes
28. Cabrita T.	11. Dias T.
4. Fernandes M.	0. Fernandes J. (C)
11. Paixao G.	4. Ferreira B.
15. Raimundo T. (C)	34. Jesus S.
8. Santos P.	21. Pimenta L.
9. Silva T.
3. Solposto R.
Coaches
. de Oliveira R.	. Fernandes M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 2.

Barreirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Madeira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Madeira could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Madeira is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 710:795 (average 78.9:88.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Barreirense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 332:352 (average 83:88).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barreirense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
01.12.24	Imortal B - Barreirense	76:74 OT ✺
16.11.24	Barreirense - CB Queluz	75:86 ✺
09.11.24	Lusitânia - Barreirense	70:56 ✺
01.11.24	Barreirense - Portimonense	72:60 ✺
26.10.24	Santo André - Barreirense	66:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWL
- CAB Madeira
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
30.11.24	Madeira - CB Queluz	72:73 ✺
23.11.24	Santo André - Madeira	80:77 OT ✺
16.11.24	Madeira - Lusitânia	86:73 ✺
10.11.24	Portimonense - Madeira	70:90 ✺
01.11.24	Madeira - Santo André	89:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
12.10.24	Madeira - Barreirense	54:62
27.01.24	Madeira - Barreirense	87:64
25.11.23	Barreirense - Madeira	86:81
Portuguese LPB
21.03.21	Madeira - Barreirense	118:89
19.12.20	Barreirense - Madeira	69:86
08.02.20	Madeira - Barreirense	87:71
10.11.19	Barreirense - Madeira	105:100 OT (87:87)

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