Match Info

National League - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Barsy Atyrau		Almaty

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.3	Watch
	1.35	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)	2.62 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barsy Atyrau
64.9%

Almaty
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barsy Atyrau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Almaty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barsy Atyrau than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barsy Atyrau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almaty than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almaty could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barsy Atyrau - Almaty Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 73.5, 1st Half - over (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Jackson M.	23. Adylbekov N.
5. Marat A.	41. Albrant D.
8. Oralbekov A.	7. Fedchenko N.
44. Tangiev T.	5. Hardy E.
14. Zharkylov E.	33. Sahipov S.
Substitutes
34. Kazimov M.	16. Gritchin P.
35. Kuantaev A.	22. Isagulov A.
40. Mays M.	24. Kalymbetov D.
33. Omarov A.	14. Sviridov D.
55. Rabchenyuk B.	31. Timofeev N.
77. Samsin R.	25. Volkov A.
74. Uapov M.

Preview

Almat. Legion leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barsy won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Almaty may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Almaty has had a series of away games.

Barsy might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barsy won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1680:1554. (average 84:77.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Barsy won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1042:941. (average 86.8:78.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barsy Atyrau
Kazakh National League Basketball
27.05.26	Barsy Atyrau - Almaty	74:76 ✺
24.05.26	Almaty - Barsy Atyrau	68:85 ✺
19.05.26	Astana - Barsy Atyrau	88:87 ✺
16.05.26	Barsy Atyrau - Astana	79:78 ✺
15.05.26	Barsy Atyrau - Astana	83:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWLWL
- BC Almaty
Kazakh National League Basketball
27.05.26	Barsy Atyrau - Almaty	74:76 ✺
24.05.26	Almaty - Barsy Atyrau	68:85 ✺
12.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Almaty	81:70 ✺
11.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Almaty	88:73 ✺
08.05.26	Turan - Almaty	56:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh National League Basketball
27.05.26	Barsy Atyrau - Almaty	74:76
24.05.26	Almaty - Barsy Atyrau	68:85
15.03.26	Almaty - Barsy Atyrau	74:72
14.03.26	Almaty - Barsy Atyrau	72:69
03.02.26	Barsy Atyrau - Almaty	90:79
14.12.25	Almaty - Barsy Atyrau	73:83
13.12.25	Almaty - Barsy Atyrau	88:92

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