Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 8

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Vitrifrigo Arena (Pesaro)


	Basket Pesaro		Pistoia Basket

	1	2
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.39	2.65
	1.40	2.59	Watch
	1.41	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.38)	2.68 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Pesaro
65.6%

Pistoia Basket
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pistoia Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Basket Pesaro - Pistoia Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bucarelli L.	8. Alessandrini N.
7. Maretto O.	12. Campogrande L.
22. Miniotas R.	22. Johnson J.
15. Tambone M.	13. Knight S.
18. Virginio N.	15. Saccaggi L.
Substitutes
5. Bertini A.	9. Dellosto N.
13. De Laurentiis Q.	5. Gallo F.
25. Fainke E.	18. Magro D.
20. Felder K.	6. Stoch F.
8. Sakine E. Y.	41. Zanotti S.
1. Trucchetti S.
Coaches
. Leka S.	. Della Rosa T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pesaro won 4.

Pesaro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Pistoia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pesaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pesaro has had a series of away games.

Pesaro might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pesaro won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1410:1462. (average 78.3:81.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pesaro won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 684:691. (average 76:76.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Pesaro
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
26.10.25	Rimini - Basket Pesaro	86:65 ✺
19.10.25	Basket Pesaro - Mestre	90:84 ✺
15.10.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Basket Pesaro	83:101 ✺
12.10.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Basket Pesaro	74:81 ✺
08.10.25	Roseto Sharks - Basket Pesaro	80:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWW
- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
26.10.25	Pistoia Basket - Juvi Cremona	89:91 ✺
19.10.25	Rieti - Pistoia Basket	73:88 ✺
12.10.25	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	76:82 ✺
08.10.25	Pistoia Basket - Libertas Livorno	69:90 ✺
05.10.25	Basket Torino - Pistoia Basket	87:91 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
13.04.24	Basket Pesaro - Pistoia Basket	89:82
17.12.23	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	73:74
22.12.19	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	91:79
Club Friendly Basketball
31.08.19	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	81:88
Italian Lega A Basketball
20.01.19	Pistoia Basket - Basket Pesaro	77:81
07.10.18	Basket Pesaro - Pistoia Basket	83:77
08.04.18	Basket Pesaro - Pistoia Basket	80:72 OT (69:69)

Basket Pesaro - Pistoia Basket: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide