Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 6

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaSojourner (Rieti)


	Rieti		Pistoia Basket

	1	2
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.3
	1.33	2.86	Watch
	1.35	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.48)	3.1 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rieti
70.1%

Pistoia Basket
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rieti's performance.

Pistoia Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pistoia Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rieti than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rieti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pistoia Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rieti - Pistoia Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Guariglia T.	8. Alessandrini N.
5. Palumbo M.	22. Johnson J.
11. Perry D.	13. Knight S.
27. Udom L.	15. Saccaggi L.
4. Williams J.	41. Zanotti S.
Substitutes
3. Bellini M.	12. Campogrande L.
30. Cicchetti M.	9. Dellosto N.
29. Mian F.	5. Gallo F.
0. Parravicini M.	18. Magro D.
7. Pascolo D.	6. Stoch F.
13. Piccin L.
2. Piunti G.
Coaches
. Ciani F.	. Della Rosa T.

Preview

Rieti is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pistoia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Rieti is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rieti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 152:135. (average 76:67.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rieti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 71:67.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NPC Rieti
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.10.25	Rieti - Baltur Cento	73:67 ✺
08.10.25	Cividale - Rieti	75:84 ✺
05.10.25	Rieti - Forlì	90:60 ✺
28.09.25	Rimini - Rieti	75:77 ✺
24.09.25	Rieti - Avellino Basket	60:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWL
- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.10.25	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	76:82 ✺
08.10.25	Pistoia Basket - Libertas Livorno	69:90 ✺
05.10.25	Basket Torino - Pistoia Basket	87:91 OT ✺
28.09.25	Pistoia Basket - Blu Basket Bergamo	93:83 ✺
21.09.25	Verona - Pistoia Basket	74:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Red Basketball
31.01.21	Pistoia Basket - Rieti	68:81
22.11.20	Rieti - Pistoia Basket	71:67

Rieti - Pistoia Basket: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide