Match Info

1. Liga - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Cityzen hall (Poznań)


	Basket Poznań		Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański

	1	2
	2.48	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.49	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.5	1.47
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.19)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Poznań
38.3%

Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Basket Poznań - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Poznań (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Krajewski A.	77. Adamczyk A.
9. Rosinski K.	10. Buckingham D.
6. Samsonowicz M. (C)	2. Komenda R.
22. Stopierzynski M.	47. Kordalski A.
15. Washington J.	3. Majewski B. (C)
Substitutes
8. Kluj J.	15. Bartosz M.
21. Krajewski I.	4. Gorka M.
31. Makowski K.	35. Jeszke D.
23. Monko B.	7. Kowalczyk S.
7. Nowicki J.	8. Nowak W.
14. Roszczka M.	23. Serocki J.
20. Stankowski P.	12. Ziolkowski D.
Coaches
. Valeiko E.	. Radulovic D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poznań won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Kociewskie Diabły may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kociewskie Diabły is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Poznań won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 468:502. (average 78:83.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Poznań won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 238:250. (average 79.3:83.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Poznan	3	2	1	297:272	5
10	Starogard Gdanski	3	1	2	261:280	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Poznań
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
28.12.25	Miners Katowice - Basket Poznań	78:84 ✺
21.12.25	Basket Poznań - Resovia Rzeszów	100:96 ✺
13.12.25	Decka Pelplin - Basket Poznań	85:75 ✺
07.12.25	Żubry Białystok - Basket Poznań	66:80 ✺
29.11.25	Basket Poznań - Astoria Bydgoszcz	102:97 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWW
- Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
27.12.25	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Żubry Białystok	96:86 ✺
19.12.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	71:79 ✺
15.12.25	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Politechnika Opolska	99:71 ✺
06.12.25	ŁKS Łódź - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	96:68 ✺
01.12.25	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	96:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
25.01.25	Basket Poznań - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	73:85
19.10.24	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Basket Poznań	81:69
28.02.24	Basket Poznań - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	85:76
18.10.23	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Basket Poznań	71:79
11.03.23	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Basket Poznań	100:82
03.12.22	Basket Poznań - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	80:89

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