Match Info

1. Liga - Round 20

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Cityzen hall (Poznań)

Referee: Rakowski A. (Pol)


	Basket Poznań		Polonia 1912 Leszno

	1	2
	1.58	2.15
	1.61	2.14
	1.62	2.15
	1.6	2.2
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.6)	2.23 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Poznań
58.5%

Polonia 1912 Leszno
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Polonia 1912 Leszno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia 1912 Leszno than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Basket Poznań - Polonia 1912 Leszno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Krajewski A.	9. Mitchell W.
7. Nowicki J.	23. Ryzek S.
9. Rosinski K.	10. Soroka D.
6. Samsonowicz M. (C)	0. Wilk P.
15. Washington J.	33. Zmudzki M.
Substitutes
13. Dydak T.	8. Kankowski K.
8. Kluj J.	1. Najder A.
31. Makowski K.	44. Pabian H.
23. Monko B.	3. Samolak M.
20. Stankowski P.	7. Zywert K. (C)
22. Stopierzynski M.
Coaches
. Valeiko E.	. Dudzik M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poznań won 5.

Poznań has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Polonia 1912 Leszno is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Poznań may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Poznań could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Poznań won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 657:602. (average 82.1:75.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Poznań won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 320:302. (average 80:75.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Leszno	3	3	0	269:217	6
6	Poznan	3	2	1	297:272	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Poznań
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
18.01.26	Sokol Lancut - Basket Poznań	90:77 ✺
10.01.26	Basket Poznań - GKS Tychy	82:71 ✺
04.01.26	Basket Poznań - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	63:70 ✺
28.12.25	Miners Katowice - Basket Poznań	78:84 ✺
21.12.25	Basket Poznań - Resovia Rzeszów	100:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLWW
- Polonia 1912 Leszno
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
16.01.26	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Żubry Białystok	67:66 ✺
11.01.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Polonia 1912 Leszno	107:101 ✺
04.01.26	Politechnika Opolska - Polonia 1912 Leszno	76:83 ✺
28.12.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - ŁKS Łódź	86:73 ✺
20.12.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia 1912 Leszno	67:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
01.10.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Basket Poznań	64:90
22.01.20	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Basket Poznań	68:88
16.10.19	Basket Poznań - Polonia 1912 Leszno	104:101
31.03.19	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Basket Poznań	86:96
22.12.18	Basket Poznań - Polonia 1912 Leszno	78:65
31.01.18	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Basket Poznań	82:63
18.10.17	Basket Poznań - Polonia 1912 Leszno	71:68

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