Match Info

ACB - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Pabellon Principe Felipe (Zaragoza)

Referee: Merino C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Basket Zaragoza		Força Lleida CE

	1	2
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.46	2.65	Watch
	1.59	2.41
	1.58	2.32
	1.5	2.38
	1.55	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.61)	2.49 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Zaragoza
62.1%

Força Lleida CE
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Força Lleida CE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basket Zaragoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Força Lleida CE than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Força Lleida CE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Basket Zaragoza - Força Lleida CE Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Força Lleida will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Força Lleida (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 - Força Lleida (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 174.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Força Lleida (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Dubljevic B.	4. Agada C.
00. Robinson D.	12. Diagne A.
15. Rodriguez J.	3. Ejim M.
0. Spissu M.	6. Garcia D.
4. Yusta S.	5. Pauli O.
Substitutes
10. Fernandez J.	1. Batemon J.
7. Gonzalez M.	52. Dabo I.
21. Koumadje C.	25. Krutwig C.
18. Savkov A.	13. Rodriguez A.
23. Traore Y.	14. Sanz M.
5. Washington I.	22. Shurna J.
3. Wright-Foreman J.	2. Walden C.
Coaches
. Plaza J.	. Encuentra G.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 13).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Força Lleida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zaragoza could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 279:265. (average 93:88.3).

Including home match between the teams, Zaragoza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 101:91.

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Forca Lleida: 0.68%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Basket Zaragoza	3	2	1	255:248	4
13	Forca Lleida	2	1	1	186:194	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Zaragoza
Spanish ACB League
05.04.26	Basket Zaragoza - Barcelona	86:92 ✺
01.04.26	Baskonia - Basket Zaragoza	115:88 ✺
29.03.26	Canarias - Basket Zaragoza	99:76 ✺
21.03.26	Basket Zaragoza - San Pablo Burgos	108:98 ✺
14.03.26	Unicaja Malaga - Basket Zaragoza	112:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Força Lleida CE
Spanish ACB League
05.04.26	Força Lleida CE - Canarias	103:101 ✺
28.03.26	Granada - Força Lleida CE	92:89 ✺
22.03.26	Força Lleida CE - Joventut Badalona	86:88 ✺
15.03.26	Real Madrid - Força Lleida CE	95:78 ✺
08.03.26	Baskonia - Força Lleida CE	93:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
04.01.26	Força Lleida CE - Basket Zaragoza	77:87
09.03.25	Força Lleida CE - Basket Zaragoza	97:91
29.09.24	Basket Zaragoza - Força Lleida CE	101:91 OT

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