Match Info

BBL - Round 6

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Telekom Dome (Bonn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Ukraine	Sport 2, Sport 3
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Baskets Bonn		ALBA Berlin

	1	2
	2.1	1.77	Watch
			Watch
	2.15	1.72
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	2.18	1.71	Watch
	2.15	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.75)	1.77 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baskets Bonn
46.1%

ALBA Berlin
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baskets Bonn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baskets Bonn's form might have worsened.

ALBA Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ALBA Berlin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskets Bonn than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baskets Bonn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ALBA Berlin than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ALBA Berlin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Baskets Bonn - ALBA Berlin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonn (votes: 1 - 50%). ALBA (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Aminu J.-S.	34. Bean J.
5. Birts T.	5. Griesel S.
4. Garrett J.	15. Hermannsson M.
6. Kessens M.	9. Mattisseck J.
7. Murphy G.	13. Roberts J.
Substitutes
2. Comithier A.	17. Agbakoko N.
3. Cooks Z. D.	22. Bennefeld N.
15. Jongkuch K.	6. Delow M.
12. Jostmann M.	33. Hundt B.
8. Reinhart K.	7. Kayil J.
	20. Nufer A.
	11. Wood M.
Coaches
. Stankovic M.	. Calles P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bonn won 1.

Bonn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ALBA is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

ALBA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bonn has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bonn won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1632:1802. (average 81.6:90.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bonn won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 826:878. (average 82.6:87.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Baskets Bonn - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.57%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baskets Bonn
German BBL
25.10.25	Rasta Vechta - Baskets Bonn	70:76 ✺
German Cup Basketball
17.10.25	Trier - Baskets Bonn	107:90 ✺
German BBL
12.10.25	BCJ Hamburg - Baskets Bonn	68:86 ✺
04.10.25	Baskets Bonn - EWE Baskets Oldenburg	73:71 ✺
02.10.25	Mitteldeutscher - Baskets Bonn	84:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL
- ALBA Berlin
Champions League Basketball
28.10.25	ALBA Berlin - Nymburk	94:78 ✺
German BBL
26.10.25	ALBA Berlin - Bayern München	67:61 ✺
German Cup Basketball
19.10.25	ALBA Berlin - Ratiopharm Ulm	90:68 ✺
Champions League Basketball
15.10.25	Sabah - ALBA Berlin	76:85 ✺
German BBL
11.10.25	s.Oliver Wurzburg - ALBA Berlin	96:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
16.04.25	ALBA Berlin - Baskets Bonn	102:88
06.10.24	Baskets Bonn - ALBA Berlin	91:87
21.05.24	Baskets Bonn - ALBA Berlin	86:93
19.05.24	ALBA Berlin - Baskets Bonn	83:70
17.05.24	ALBA Berlin - Baskets Bonn	94:68
08.05.24	ALBA Berlin - Baskets Bonn	90:69
21.01.24	Baskets Bonn - ALBA Berlin	87:95

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