Match Info

BBL - Round 16

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Ludwigsburg (Ludwigsburg)


	Ludwigsburg		Baskets Bonn

	1	2
	1.65	2.22	Watch
	1.7	2.12	Watch
	1.75	2.03	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.75	2.12	Watch
	1.64	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.58)	2.12 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludwigsburg
55.3%

Baskets Bonn
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludwigsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Baskets Bonn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludwigsburg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskets Bonn than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ludwigsburg - Baskets Bonn Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ludwigsburg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Bonn will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonn (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 - Bonn (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3, OT - Bonn (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonn (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Buchanan T.	21. Aminu J.-S.
39. Dongmo M.	5. Birts T.
7. Hughes E.	4. Garrett J.
13. Polas Bartolo Y.	6. Kessens M.
3. Smith S.	7. Murphy G.
Substitutes
12. Anigbata L.	2. Comithier A.
37. Baumer J.	3. Cooks Z. D.
0. Sane B.	33. Heckmann P.
34. Schilling G.	15. Jongkuch K.
5. Skuja T.	12. Jostmann M.
24. Tischler B.
18. Wohlfarth-Bottermann J.
Coaches
. Riipinen M.	. Stankovic M.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ BBL (Play~in: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ BBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ludwigsburg won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ludwigsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ludwigsburg could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ludwigsburg won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1597:1658. (average 79.9:82.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ludwigsburg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 836:801. (average 83.6:80.1).

Outrights of German BBL for now

Bonn: 1.26% Ludwigsburg: 0.9%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Bonn	5	3	2	444:401	6
9	Ludwigsburg	4	2	2	341:354	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Ludwigsburg
German BBL
09.01.26	Brose Bamberg - Ludwigsburg	79:100 ✺
03.01.26	Ludwigsburg - Heidelberg	89:73 ✺
29.12.25	ALBA Berlin - Ludwigsburg	80:47 ✺
27.12.25	Ludwigsburg - Science City Jena	91:82 ✺
22.12.25	Ludwigsburg - Rasta Vechta	80:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL
- Baskets Bonn
German BBL
11.01.26	Bayern München - Baskets Bonn	66:63 ✺
05.01.26	Baskets Bonn - Brose Bamberg	76:74 ✺
29.12.25	Science City Jena - Baskets Bonn	80:92 ✺
27.12.25	Heidelberg - Baskets Bonn	67:100 ✺
21.12.25	Baskets Bonn - Bayern München	55:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
11.02.25	Ludwigsburg - Baskets Bonn	81:61
28.10.24	Baskets Bonn - Ludwigsburg	79:89
14.05.24	Baskets Bonn - Ludwigsburg	90:69
12.05.24	Baskets Bonn - Ludwigsburg	87:60
Champions League Basketball
20.03.24	Ludwigsburg - Baskets Bonn	81:85
30.01.24	Baskets Bonn - Ludwigsburg	80:75
German BBL
21.10.23	Ludwigsburg - Baskets Bonn	86:91

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