Match Info

Euroleague - Round 30

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Fernando Buesa Arena (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Baskonia		Paris

	1	2
	1.56	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.64	2.33
	1.62	2.41	Watch
	1.71	2.15
	1.65	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.78)	2.27 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baskonia
58.1%

Paris
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baskonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Baskonia - Paris Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 180.5, OT - over (votes: 14 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diakite M.	4. Cavaliere L.
11. Forrest T.	13. Dokossi A.
5. Omoruyi E.	7. Herrera S.
17. Radzevicius G.	8. Rhoden J.
2. Simmons K.	5. Robinson J.
Substitutes
21. Bol J.	15. Faye M.
25. Frisch C.	2. Hifi N.
0. Howard M.	34. Hommes D.
77. Joksimovic S.	20. Morgan J.
9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.	24. Ouattara Y.
3. Nowell M.	9. Stevens L.
4. Villar R.	35. Willis D.
Coaches
. Galbiati P.	. Tabellini F.

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Paris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 246:253. (average 82:84.3).

Including home match between the teams, Baskonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 94:81.

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Paris: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
16	Paris	4	1	3	329:359
19	Baskonia	4	1	3	347:385

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 53.4%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
26.02.26	Baskonia - Valencia	79:108 ✺
Spanish Basketball Cup
22.02.26	Real Madrid - Baskonia	89:100 ✺
21.02.26	Barcelona - Baskonia	67:70 ✺
20.02.26	Baskonia - Canarias	91:81 ✺
Spanish ACB League
15.02.26	Bilbao Basket - Baskonia	69:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWWWW
- Paris Basketball
Euroleague
26.02.26	Panathinaikos - Paris	99:104 ✺
French Leaders Cup Basketball
20.02.26	Paris - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	74:78 ✺
French LNB
15.02.26	Saint-Quentin - Paris	90:103 ✺
Euroleague
12.02.26	Barcelona - Paris	74:85 ✺
French LNB
07.02.26	Paris - Nancy	102:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
15.10.25	Paris - Baskonia	105:87
27.12.24	Baskonia - Paris	94:81
01.11.24	Paris - Baskonia	67:65

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