Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - WINNERS STAGE

Date: 1 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Pavelló Nou Congost (Manresa)


	Basquet Manresa		Baskets Bonn

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.83	1.87
	1.75	2.08
	1.47	2.49
	1.83	2.03
	1.73	2
	1.75	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.46)	2.09 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basquet Manresa
54.9%

Baskets Bonn
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basquet Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basquet Manresa's form might have worsened.

Baskets Bonn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baskets Bonn's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquet Manresa than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basquet Manresa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baskets Bonn than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baskets Bonn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Basquet Manresa - Baskets Bonn Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Manresa will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Bonn will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonn: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83

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Preview

Manresa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bonn is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Manresa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Manresa have a series of home games.

Manresa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basquet Manresa
Spanish ACB League
29.01.23	Basquet Manresa - Real Madrid	69:94 ✺
Champions League Basketball
24.01.23	Basquet Manresa - Rytas	82:69 ✺
Spanish ACB League
21.01.23	Basquet Manresa - Unicaja Malaga	94:98 OT ✺
15.01.23	Valencia - Basquet Manresa	103:92 ✺
08.01.23	Basquet Manresa - Basket Zaragoza	65:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Baskets Bonn
German BBL
29.01.23	BBC Bayreuth - Baskets Bonn	71:94 ✺
Champions League Basketball
25.01.23	Baskets Bonn - Bahcesehir Koleji	74:68 ✺
German BBL
21.01.23	Baskets Bonn - EWE Baskets Oldenburg	108:79 ✺
15.01.23	ALBA Berlin - Baskets Bonn	81:76 ✺
06.01.23	Baskets Bonn - Rostock Seawolves	99:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW

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