The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basquet Manresa 44.1%
UCAM Murcia 55.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.3%
56.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
50.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basquet Manresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquet Manresa than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basquet Manresa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.6%
0%
21.4%
Basquet Manresa - UCAM Murcia Predictions
Users Predictions:
Basquet Manresa will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Basquet Manresa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:90
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
8. Reyes A.
99. Nakic T.
18. Knudsen G.
12. Radebaugh J.
29. Oriola P.
0. Cacok D.
24. Brooks E.
13. Falk W.
2. Benitez H.
5. DeJulius D.
Substitutes
0. Akobundu-Ehiogu K.
15. Cate E.
6. Bassas F.
21. Diagne M.
4. Gaspa M.
31. Ennis D.
32. Obasohan R.
1. Forrest M.
22. Paulicap P.
16. Lopez R.
12. Steinbergs M.
30. Martin K.
11. Ubal A.
8. Sant-Roos H.
Coaches
. Ocampo D.
. Alonso S.
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manresa won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Manresa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Manresa has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manresa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1608:1660. (average 80.4:83).
Including home matches between the teams, Manresa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 853:828. (average 85.3:82.8).
Standings
Pl
W
L
Pts
14
Murcia
5
2
3
435:465
4
18
Manresa
5
0
5
423:511
0
Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now
Murcia: 1.37% Manresa: 0.47%
Last Results with these Odds
Basquet Manresa - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.34%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.