Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: PalaBigi (Reggio Emilia)


	Reggiana		UCAM Murcia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.16	1.71
	2.15	1.62
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.68)	1.69 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
44.7%

UCAM Murcia
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggiana's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reggiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Reggiana - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 163.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Reggiana will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reggiana will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Lineups


0. Barford J.	15. Cate E.
2. Brown S.	21. Diagne M.
10. Caupain T.	13. Falk W.
26. Echenique J.	1. Forrest M.
6. Rossato R.	6. Garcia D.
20. Severini L.	16. Lopez R.
4. Thor J.	30. Martin K.
16. Uglietti L.	99. Nakic T.
31. Vitali M. (C)	14. Neves J.
11. Williams B.	12. Radebaugh J. (C)
7. Woldetensae T.	8. Sant-Roos H.
Coaches
. Priftis D.	. Alonso S.

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reggiana BC
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.03.26	Reggiana - Trieste	97:61 ✺
15.02.26	Venezia - Reggiana	79:81 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
11.02.26	Bosna - Reggiana	85:73 ✺
04.02.26	CSM Oradea - Reggiana	81:77 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
01.02.26	Varese - Reggiana	61:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLLW
- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
08.03.26	Valencia - UCAM Murcia	110:84 ✺
Spanish Basketball Cup
20.02.26	Barcelona - UCAM Murcia	91:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.02.26	UCAM Murcia - San Pablo Burgos	101:82 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
11.02.26	Rostock Seawolves - UCAM Murcia	82:89 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.02.26	CB Breogán - UCAM Murcia	95:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWW

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