Match Info

NBB

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Centro de Formacao Olimpica (Fortaleza)


	Basquete Cearense		Caxias do Sul

	1	2
	2.7	1.42
	2.55	1.42
	2.67	1.47
	2.43	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.44
	2.53	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.74)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basquete Cearense
35.9%

Caxias do Sul
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basquete Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Caxias do Sul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias do Sul than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Basquete Cearense - Caxias do Sul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Amorim S.	13. Guilherme
1. Costa A.	16. Rafa Oliveira
5. da Silva B.	44. Ruiz Diaz F.
11. Dupree M.	19. Silva H.
77. Fernandes G.	10. Vezaro F.
Substitutes
21. Alberton R.	5. Augusto
17. Caua W.	34. Luan
0. Jeanzinho	14. Miguel Santos
16. Popovic A.	22. Oliveira T.
10. Salsamendi F.	24. Stallworth S.
	11. Tiago
Coaches
. Todorovic J.	. Barbosa R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 2.

Cearense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caxias do Sul has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cearense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Caxias do Sul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1265:1196. (average 74.4:70.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cearense won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 622:571. (average 77.8:71.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basquete Cearense
Brazilian NBB
04.04.26	Basquete Cearense - União Corinthians	94:93 ✺
22.03.26	Franca - Basquete Cearense	116:71 ✺
19.03.26	Paulistano - Basquete Cearense	91:77 ✺
17.03.26	Osasco - Basquete Cearense	90:89 OT ✺
13.03.26	Basquete Cearense - Rio Claro	72:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL
- Caxias do Sul Basquete
Brazilian NBB
02.04.26	Caxias do Sul - Flamengo	76:74 ✺
22.03.26	Caxias do Sul - Botafogo	67:68 ✺
19.03.26	Minas - Caxias do Sul	81:75 ✺
17.03.26	Cruzeiro - Caxias do Sul	76:85 ✺
11.03.26	Caxias do Sul - Vasco da Gama	71:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
23.12.25	Caxias do Sul - Basquete Cearense	68:52
27.12.24	Caxias do Sul - Basquete Cearense	73:70
15.10.24	Basquete Cearense - Caxias do Sul	76:68
25.03.24	Caxias do Sul - Basquete Cearense	69:91
08.12.23	Basquete Cearense - Caxias do Sul	62:63
12.04.23	Caxias do Sul - Basquete Cearense	66:77
21.12.22	Basquete Cearense - Caxias do Sul	84:73

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