Match Info

NBB

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ginasio Dona Salome (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Machado dos Santos Nunes D. (Bra)


	Cruzeiro		Caxias do Sul

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.42	2.55	Watch
	1.46	2.83
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.47	2.6
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)	2.61 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
64.2%

Caxias do Sul
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Caxias do Sul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias do Sul than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias do Sul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cruzeiro - Caxias do Sul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ansaloni R.	5. Augusto
10. Bueno C.	16. Rafa Oliveira
7. Clay Y.	44. Ruiz Diaz F.
12. JJ	19. Silva H.
0. Thornton I.	10. Vezaro F.
Substitutes
3. Abreu L.	13. Guilherme
30. Da Silva M.	34. Luan
5. Gittens G.	14. Miguel Santos
2. Nique	22. Oliveira T.
21. Sena W.	24. Stallworth S.
17. Sommer E.	11. Tiago
1. Tasso B.
Coaches
. Perez T.	. Barbosa R.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Caxias do Sul has had a series of home games.

Cruzeiro could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 63:78.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro Basquete
Brazilian NBB
12.03.26	Pinheiros - Cruzeiro	101:79 ✺
10.03.26	Paulistano - Cruzeiro	88:89 ✺
07.03.26	Osasco - Cruzeiro	84:92 ✺
21.02.26	Cruzeiro - Rio Claro	95:79 ✺
19.02.26	Cruzeiro - Brasília Basquete	87:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWL
- Caxias do Sul Basquete
Brazilian NBB
11.03.26	Caxias do Sul - Vasco da Gama	71:69 ✺
09.03.26	Caxias do Sul - Mogi	67:72 ✺
05.03.26	Caxias do Sul - União Corinthians	80:90 ✺
22.02.26	Caxias do Sul - Osasco	83:66 ✺
13.02.26	Caxias do Sul - Paulistano	80:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
01.12.25	Caxias do Sul - Cruzeiro	78:63

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