Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - WINNERS STAGE - FINAL

Date: 4 January 2023, Wednesday

Location: Pavilhão Fidelidade (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV


	Benfica		Darüşşafaka

	1	2
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.6	2.35
	1.52	2.43
	1.57	2.5
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.49	Watch
	1.51	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)	2.43 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
61.3%

Darüşşafaka
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Darüşşafaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darüşşafaka than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Benfica - Darüşşafaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 5 - 12.5%). Darüşşafaka will win (votes: 35 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darüşşafaka: 77.3% – 97.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:75

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Benfica is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Darüşşafaka is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Darüşşafaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Benfica will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Basketball
Portuguese LPB
28.12.22	Madeira - Benfica	78:107 ✺
23.12.22	Benfica - Porto	86:87 ✺
Champions League Basketball
20.12.22	Benfica - Limoges	59:79 ✺
Portuguese LPB
17.12.22	Lusitânia - Benfica	77:87 ✺
14.12.22	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	90:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLLWL
- Darüşşafaka SK
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
31.12.22	Darüşşafaka - Tofaş	88:82 ✺
28.12.22	Bursaspor - Darüşşafaka	97:71 ✺
24.12.22	Beşiktaş - Darüşşafaka	98:84 ✺
Champions League Basketball
20.12.22	Darüşşafaka - Hapoel Jerusalem	69:92 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
17.12.22	Darüşşafaka - Karşıyaka	71:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

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