Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Round 3

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Pavilhão Fidelidade (Lisbon)

Referee: Vulic M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Benfica		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
	3.75	1.24	Watch
	3.6	1.25
	3.75	1.24	Watch
	3.93	1.27
	3.74	1.27
	3.5	1.29
	3.62	1.27	Watch
	3.75	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.5)	1.26 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
25.4%

Derthona Basket Tortona
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Benfica aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Derthona Basket Tortona aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Benfica - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Tortona will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Carvacho N.	14. Kamagate I.
9. Drechsel T.	2. Kuhse T.
13. Gameiro D.	20. Severini L.
15. Gomes B.	12. Strautins A.
33. Stone T.	1. Vital C.
Substitutes
6. Barbosa J.	19. Biligha P.
12. Ben Romdhane M.	7. Candi L.
1. Broussard Aaron .	11. Denegri D.
0. Francisco E.	9. Farias B.
14. Relvao D.	4. Gorham J.
4. Silva J.	23. Josovic A.
3. Thornton M.	34. Weems K.
Coaches
. Alves N.	. De Raffaele W.

Preview

Recent matches Benfica is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tortona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tortona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Benfica have a series of guest games.

In this match Tortona is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Basketball
Portuguese LPB
26.10.24	Galomar - Benfica	83:87 ✺
19.10.24	Imortal - Benfica	61:96 ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.10.24	Niners Chemnitz - Benfica	103:75 ✺
02.10.24	Basquet Manresa - Benfica	92:64 ✺
Portuguese Super Cup Basketball
28.09.24	Benfica - Porto	93:97 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLLL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.10.24	Trapani - Derthona Basket Tortona	78:84 ✺
Champions League Basketball
15.10.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basquet Manresa	102:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.10.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Trieste	82:85 ✺
06.10.24	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	95:105 ✺
Champions League Basketball
02.10.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Niners Chemnitz	87:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW

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