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Current Win Probability
Derthona Basket Tortona 69.7%
Trieste 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.4%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derthona Basket Tortona's performance.
Trieste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trieste might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derthona Basket Tortona that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trieste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Derthona Basket Tortona - Trieste Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tortona will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Trieste will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:82
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Strautins A.
37. Ramsey J.
4. Gorham J.
9. Uthoff J.
17. Olejniczak D.
11. Sissoko M.
1. Vital C.
22. Brown M.
5. Manjon E.
4. Ross C.
Substitutes
13. Baldasso T.
23. Brooks J.
19. Biligha P.
13. Candussi F.
7. Chapman B.
8. Deangeli L.
3. Hubb P.
18. Iannuzzi P.
6. Pecchia A.
2. Martucci E.
25. Riismaa J.
10. Ruzzier M.
11. Tandia L.
1. Toscano-Anderson J.
Coaches
. Fioretti M.
. Gonzalez I.
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Trieste may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Tortona is considered a favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1059:1076. (average 75.6:76.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Tortona won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 461:448. (average 76.8:74.7).