Match Info

LPB - Round 10

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Fidelidade (Lisbon)


	Benfica		Esgueira

	1	2
			Watch
	1.01	12
	1.02	12
	1.01	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.02)	13.67 ↑ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-25)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
93.1%

Esgueira
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.2%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Benfica - Esgueira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 102:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ben Romdhane M. (C)	15. Barnstable D.
1. Broussard Aaron .	7. Bilamu N.
9. Crandall G.	10. Ferreira H.
11. Dziewa A.	3. Porter M.
15. Gomes B.	21. Tong B.
Substitutes
0. Francisco E.	12. Andrade T. (C)
13. Gameiro D.	34. Antonio Y.
14. Relvao D.	20. Garita E.
2. Sueing J.	6. Martins J.
3. Yussuf T.	17. Neto F.
	23. Oliveira M.
	97. Sousa A.
Coaches
. Alves N.	. Silva S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Benfica is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1123:841. (average 93.6:70.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 572:409. (average 95.3:68.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Benfica	1	1	0	84:71	2
12	Esgueira	1	0	1	64:84	1

Last Results with these Odds

Benfica - the odds 1.02 are the expected chance of winning is 92.17%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Basketball
Portuguese LPB
28.12.25	Braga - Benfica	63:87 ✺
Portuguese Super Cup Basketball
21.12.25	Benfica - Porto	91:65 ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.12.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Benfica	87:63 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
12.12.25	Benfica - Braga	81:82 ✺
Portuguese LPB
06.12.25	Ovarense - Benfica	70:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW
- Esgueira Basket
Portuguese LPB
28.12.25	Esgueira - Vitória de Guimarães	91:103 ✺
20.12.25	Imortal - Esgueira	102:84 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
13.12.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Esgueira	105:106 ✺
Portuguese LPB
06.12.25	Esgueira - Sporting Lisbon	95:87 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
22.11.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Esgueira	83:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
07.03.25	Benfica - Esgueira	100:65
09.11.24	Esgueira - Benfica	85:93
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
14.02.24	Benfica - Esgueira	77:53
Portuguese LPB
03.02.24	Esgueira - Benfica	64:100
07.10.23	Benfica - Esgueira	110:70
18.02.23	Esgueira - Benfica	61:93
30.11.22	Benfica - Esgueira	95:82

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