Match Info

LPB - Round 4

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira (Esgueira)


	Esgueira		CAQ Queluz

	1	2
	1.53	2.27	Watch
	2.42	1.51	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.41)	2.2 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esgueira
55.9%

CAQ Queluz
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esgueira's form might have worsened.

CAQ Queluz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CAQ Queluz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esgueira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CAQ Queluz than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CAQ Queluz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Esgueira - CAQ Queluz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Barnstable D.	4. Bradley M.
7. Bilamu N.	8. Horta D.
20. Garita E.	14. Robinson W.
3. Porter M.	0. Wade D.
0. Reid L.	23. Williams D.
Substitutes
12. Andrade T. (C)	10. Carniero J.
34. Antonio Y.	1. Dixon J.
10. Ferreira H.	22. Hallman A.
6. Martins J.	5. Lopes M.
17. Neto F.	12. Silva S.
97. Sousa A.	7. Simmons J.
21. Tong B.	3. Tavares G. (C)
Coaches
. Silva S.	. Rodrigues C.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Esgueira might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 155:167. (average 77.5:83.5).

Including home match between the teams, Esgueira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 82:81.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esgueira Basket
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
25.10.25	Esgueira - Ovarense	81:102 ✺
Portuguese LPB
18.10.25	Braga - Esgueira	79:103 ✺
11.10.25	Esgueira - Galitos Barreiro	102:92 ✺
04.10.25	Ovarense - Esgueira	81:75 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
27.09.25	Oliveirense - Esgueira	93:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLL
- CAQ Queluz
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
25.10.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - CAQ Queluz	67:76 ✺
Portuguese LPB
18.10.25	CAQ Queluz - Vitória de Guimarães	76:72 ✺
11.10.25	Braga - CAQ Queluz	58:66 ✺
04.10.25	CAQ Queluz - Imortal	78:81 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
25.09.25	CAQ Queluz - Sporting Lisbon	83:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
19.04.25	CAQ Queluz - Esgueira	86:73
22.02.25	Esgueira - CAQ Queluz	82:81

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