Match Info

Champions League - Round 4

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pavilhão Fidelidade (Lisbon)

Referee: Jurcevic J. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Benfica		Le Mans

	1	2
	3.7	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.5	1.26	Watch
	3.68	1.29
	3.38	1.32	Watch
	4.2	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (4.2)	1.26 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
25.5%

Le Mans
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

77.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Benfica - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Le Mans will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 77.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 166, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Francisco E.	34. DiLeo D.
12. Ben Romdhane M. (C)	35. Thomas T.
11. Dziewa A.	18. Jeanne J.
1. Broussard Aaron .	3. Williams T.
9. Crandall G.	12. Hudgins T.
Substitutes
13. Gameiro D.	8. Berhanemeskel J.
15. Gomes B.	5. Bogues S.
19. McEwen K.	10. Doumbia U.
14. Relvao D.	32. Dufeal L.
4. Silva J.	1. Grasshoff B.
2. Sueing J.	15. Yeguete W. (C)
3. Yussuf T.
Coaches
. Alves N.	. Vizade G.

Preview

Benfica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Le Mans is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Le Mans is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Benfica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 69:89.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Basketball
Portuguese LPB
01.11.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Benfica	76:87 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
26.10.25	Benfica - Vitória de Guimarães	105:72 ✺
Champions League Basketball
21.10.25	Le Mans - Benfica	89:69 ✺
Portuguese LPB
18.10.25	Benfica - Imortal	98:57 ✺
Champions League Basketball
15.10.25	Benfica - Spartak Subotica	74:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLWL
- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
French LNB
01.11.25	Cholet Basket - Le Mans	80:84 ✺
25.10.25	Le Mans - Le Portel	107:68 ✺
Champions League Basketball
21.10.25	Le Mans - Benfica	89:69 ✺
French LNB
18.10.25	Le Mans - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	84:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
15.10.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Le Mans	73:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
21.10.25	Le Mans - Benfica	89:69

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