Match Info

LNB - Round 6

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: La Meilleraie (Cholet)


	Cholet Basket		Le Mans

	1	2
	1.56	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.61	2.17	Watch
	1.64	2.33	Watch
	1.62	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 (1.61)	2.32 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet Basket
59.1%

Le Mans
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cholet Basket than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Cholet Basket - Le Mans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cholet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5, OT - Cholet (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cholet (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Ayayi G.	34. DiLeo D.
44. Campbell T. (C)	12. Hudgins T.
93. Diarra M.	35. Thomas T.
6. Diawara D.	3. Williams T.
8. McNeace J.	15. Yeguete W. (C)
Substitutes
23. Agbo C.	8. Berhanemeskel J.
7. De Sousa N.	5. Bogues S.
2. Kountz D.	10. Doumbia U.
15. Miles I.	32. Dufeal L.
79. Towo-Nansi A.	1. Grasshoff B.
22. Wahad Q.	18. Jeanne J.
28. Wilamowski J.	4. Simonovic D.
Coaches
. Lefrancois F.	. Vizade G.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cholet won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cholet might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cholet won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 1576:1641. (average 78.8:82.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cholet won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 940:958. (average 78.3:79.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Cholet Basket - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.41%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cholet Basket
French LNB
25.10.25	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Cholet Basket	87:93 ✺
Champions League Basketball
22.10.25	Cholet Basket - Hapoel Holon	92:103 ✺
French LNB
18.10.25	Cholet Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	98:79 ✺
Champions League Basketball
14.10.25	Bursaspor - Cholet Basket	72:84 ✺
French LNB
11.10.25	Dijon - Cholet Basket	76:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWL
- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
French LNB
25.10.25	Le Mans - Le Portel	107:68 ✺
Champions League Basketball
21.10.25	Le Mans - Benfica	89:69 ✺
French LNB
18.10.25	Le Mans - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	84:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
15.10.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Le Mans	73:68 ✺
French LNB
11.10.25	ASVEL Basket - Le Mans	91:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
05.09.25	Cholet Basket - Le Mans	99:90
French LNB
29.03.25	Le Mans - Cholet Basket	91:68
French Cup Basketball
26.02.25	Le Mans - Cholet Basket	101:82
French Leaders Cup Basketball
14.02.25	Cholet Basket - Le Mans	91:93
French LNB
27.12.24	Cholet Basket - Le Mans	86:92
27.12.23	Cholet Basket - Le Mans	111:96
21.10.23	Le Mans - Cholet Basket	85:88 OT

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