Match Info

Proliga - Losers stage - Round 12

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Pavilhão Fidelidade (Lisbon)


	Benfica B		Casino Ginásio

	1	2
	2.04	1.66
	2.12	1.6
	2.09	1.69
	2.04	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.77)	1.65 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
44.4%

Casino Ginásio
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica B's form might have worsened.

Casino Ginásio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casino Ginásio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casino Ginásio than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casino Ginásio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Benfica B - Casino Ginásio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Filipe T.	14. Barbosa G.
0. Francisco E.	16. Mendes A.
23. Panzo J.	4. Mota J.
9. Silva H. (C)	8. Neves B. (C)
21. Simoes F.	12. Pepin G.
Substitutes
14. Andrade J.	9. Craveiro R.
15. Goncalves M.	10. Gui Santos
4. Lopes P.	15. Oman O.
39. Mendes J.	5. Pereira R.
22. Pinguinha A.	13. Roxo B.
16. Sousa S.	6. Terry M.
Coaches
. Matos H.	. Mota J.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Benfica B have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 74:70

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Lisboa B Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
05.04.25	Maia - Benfica B	71:65 ✺
29.03.25	Sampaense - Benfica B	85:71 ✺
23.03.25	Benfica B - Barreirense	68:84 ✺
15.03.25	Santo André - Benfica B	50:56 ✺
08.03.25	Clube Galitos - Benfica B	67:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLLWW
- Casino Ginásio
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
05.04.25	Casino Ginásio - Sampaense	83:79 ✺
29.03.25	Barreirense - Casino Ginásio	83:78 ✺
22.03.25	Casino Ginásio - Santo André	93:95 ✺
15.03.25	Clube Galitos - Casino Ginásio	74:59 ✺
08.03.25	Lusitânia - Casino Ginásio	102:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
22.02.25	Casino Ginásio - Benfica B	70:74

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