Match Info

Proliga - Losers stage - Round 11

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope (Maia)


	Maia		Benfica B

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.49	2.38
			Watch
	1.48	2.34
	1.49	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.38)	2.44 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maia
62.5%

Benfica B
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Benfica B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maia - Benfica B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Boyd R.	14. Andrade J.
3. Bumbalough L.	13. Filipe T.
12. Carrera Y.	1. Francisco E.
2. Magalhaes M.	23. Panzo J.
30. Oliveira S.	9. Silva H. (C)
Substitutes
4. Gomes D.	15. Goncalves M.
5. Guerreiro J. (C)	4. Lopes P.
16. Jesus J.	39. Mendes J.
26. Lauback K.	22. Pinguinha A.
44. Machado P.	21. Simoes F.
1. Santana M.	16. Sousa S.
9. Silva T.
Coaches
. Gomes R.	. Matos H.

Preview

Maia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Benfica B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maia will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Maia to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Maia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 243:244 (average 81:81.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Maia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 89:77

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maia Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
29.03.25	Clube Galitos - Maia	71:77 ✺
22.03.25	Sampaense - Maia	96:72 ✺
16.03.25	Maia - Lusitânia	93:86 ✺
08.03.25	Maia - Barreirense	68:65 ✺
01.03.25	Casino Ginásio - Maia	66:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW
- Benfica Lisboa B Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
29.03.25	Sampaense - Benfica B	85:71 ✺
23.03.25	Benfica B - Barreirense	68:84 ✺
15.03.25	Santo André - Benfica B	50:56 ✺
08.03.25	Clube Galitos - Benfica B	67:77 ✺
02.03.25	Benfica B - Lusitânia	82:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
15.02.25	Benfica B - Maia	74:69
26.03.23	Benfica B - Maia	93:85
24.03.23	Maia - Benfica B	89:77

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