Match Info

Proliga - Round 6

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavilhão Fidelidade (Lisbon)


	Benfica B		Madeira

	1	2
	4.5	1.14
	3.85	1.16
	3.12	1.29	Watch
	3.57	1.25
	3.2	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.2)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
25.2%

Madeira
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madeira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Benfica B - Madeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Alberto A.	11. Dias T.
13. Filipe T. (C)	24. Eberhart T.
6. Martins A.	3. Embalo J.
39. Mendes J.	4. Ferreira B.
21. Simoes F.	15. Newman M.
Substitutes
15. Goncalves M.	2. Buccila V.
18. Santos P.	00. Fernandes J. (C)
9. Silva T.	13. Gallina J.
16. Sousa S.	10. Leite L.
24. Sousa T.	33. Oliveira J.
2. Viegas G.
Coaches
. Afonso T.	. Fernandes M.

Preview

Benfica B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Madeira is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Madeira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Madeira is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Benfica B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 192:242. (average 64:80.7).

Including home match between the teams, Benfica B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 67:84.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Lisboa B Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
01.11.25	Benfica B - Galomar	70:72 ✺
25.10.25	CB Queluz - Benfica B	47:80 ✺
19.10.25	Benfica B - Ginásio Olhanense	73:65 ✺
09.10.25	Santo André - Benfica B	79:90 ✺
05.10.25	Benfica B - Imortal B	67:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWL
- CAB Madeira
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
01.11.25	Portimonense - Madeira	82:78 ✺
26.10.25	Madeira - Imortal B	91:71 ✺
18.10.25	Madeira - Santo André	85:79 ✺
12.10.25	Ginásio Olhanense - Madeira	75:86 ✺
04.10.25	CB Queluz - Madeira	63:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
21.12.24	Benfica B - Madeira	67:84
27.10.24	Madeira - Benfica B	56:57
08.12.23	Madeira - Benfica B	102:68

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