Match Info

EUROPE: Eurocup - Round 3

Date: 8 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: BJK Akatlar Sports Complex (Istanbul)

Referee: Bissuel T. (Wrl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Magenta Sport
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovenia	Sport TV3


	Beşiktaş		Hapoel Tel Aviv

	1	2
	2.2	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.19	1.69	Watch
	2.16	1.73
	2.09	1.7	Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.19	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.55)	1.68 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
43.8%

Hapoel Tel Aviv
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beşiktaş's performance.

Hapoel Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Tel Aviv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beşiktaş that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Tel Aviv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	0%	35.3%

Beşiktaş - Hapoel Tel Aviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Hapoel Tel Aviv will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Allman K.	22. Beverley P.
20. Konan K.	17. Foster M.
30. Martin K.	0. Motley J.
9. Morgan C.	10. Timor B.
5. Needham D.	24. Wainright I.
Substitutes
10. Aksu Y.	11. Angola B.
7. Arslan Y.	14. Blayzer O.
2. Mathews J.	51. Caboclo B.
22. Ozbek A.	41. Ginat T.
14. Sleva D.	9. Palatin G.
33. Terry E.	1. Ragland J.
6. Ugurlu B.	31. Yaacov N.
Coaches
. Alimpijevic D.	. Dedas S.

Preview

Beşiktaş is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hapoel Tel Aviv is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hapoel Tel Aviv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Beşiktaş have a series of guest games.

Hapoel Tel Aviv will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Beşiktaş won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 242:264 (average 80.7:88).

Including matches at home between the teams Beşiktaş won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 73:94

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Besiktas Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
05.10.24	Tofaş - Beşiktaş	99:95 ✺
Eurocup
01.10.24	Bahcesehir Koleji - Beşiktaş	87:66 ✺
25.09.24	Beşiktaş - KK Budućnost	94:76 ✺
VTB Super Cup
14.09.24	Lokomotiv-Kuban - Beşiktaş	97:96 OT ✺
12.09.24	Zenit Saint Petersburg - Beşiktaş	83:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Hapoel Tel Aviv BC
Eurocup
01.10.24	Hapoel Tel Aviv - BC Wolves	89:84 ✺
24.09.24	Joventut Badalona - Hapoel Tel Aviv	78:75 ✺
Israeli League Cup
21.09.24	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan	102:109 OT ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.24	Aris - Hapoel Tel Aviv	72:100 ✺
03.09.24	FMP Beograd - Hapoel Tel Aviv	88:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
13.03.24	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Beşiktaş	89:94
07.02.24	Beşiktaş - Hapoel Tel Aviv	73:94
29.11.23	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Beşiktaş	81:75

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