Match Info

Liga Uruguaya

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Arena Bigua (Montevideo)


	Biguá		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.75	1.36
	2.94	1.34
	2.87	1.34	Watch
	2.73	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.01)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Biguá
32.5%

Peñarol de Montevideo
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Biguá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biguá than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Biguá - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Espinosa M.	21. Heilmann C.
21. Hassell F.	23. Hogan S.
0. Hicks D.	20. Ibarguen A.
12. Iglesias G.	8. Pomoli N.
31. Matos J.	25. Vescovi S.
Substitutes
3. Catala N.	22. Bavosi F. (C)
5. Duran J.	35. Calimares S.
23. Garcia B.	52. Delgado J.
1. Ottonello S. (C)	15. Lema N.
18. Payovich A.	42. Rojas M.
7. Rodriguez T.	1. Rosado O.
45. Sosa A.	2. Whittington G.
Coaches
. Camina F.	. Garcia L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biguá won 1.

Biguá is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Peñarol has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peñarol is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Biguá won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1188:1162. (average 84.9:83).

Including home matches between the teams, Biguá won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 659:634. (average 82.4:79.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Biguá
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
14.11.25	Cordón - Biguá	Abandoned ✺
10.11.25	Biguá - Unión Atlética	84:78 ✺
07.11.25	Malvín - Biguá	90:89 ✺
03.11.25	Biguá - Nacional	93:110 ✺
27.10.25	Urunday Universitario - Biguá	88:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?WLLL
- Peñarol de Montevideo Basketball
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
11.11.25	Goes - Peñarol de Montevideo	88:81 ✺
07.11.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada	103:89 ✺
03.11.25	Welcome - Peñarol de Montevideo	80:102 ✺
28.10.25	Hebraica y Macabi - Peñarol de Montevideo	Abandoned ✺
23.10.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cordón	102:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWW?W

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
14.02.25	Biguá - Peñarol de Montevideo	72:83
06.12.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Biguá	76:73
04.01.24	Biguá - Peñarol de Montevideo	81:87
07.11.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Biguá	92:90 OT
28.02.23	Biguá - Peñarol de Montevideo	91:84
18.11.22	Peñarol de Montevideo - Biguá	73:81
13.06.22	Biguá - Peñarol de Montevideo	98:76

Biguá - Peñarol de Montevideo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide