Match Info
Liga Uruguaya - Play Offs - FinalDate: 19 June 2026, FridayLocation: Palacio Penarol (Montevideo)
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Peñarol de Montevideo |
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Aguada |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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Watch |
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1.36 |
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2.80 |
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1.34 |
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2.75 |
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1.36 |
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3.1 |
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1.31 |
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3.06 |
Watch |
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1.36 |
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2.88 |
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1.34 |
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2.99 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↑ (1.22) |
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2.93 ↓ (3.72) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Peñarol de Montevideo 68.5% | Aguada 31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peñarol de Montevideo's form might have worsened.Aguada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aguada's recent form is better than expected.Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Aguada will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:81 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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23. Hogan S.
| 6. Pereiras F.
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9. Jau
| 23. Santos L.
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8. Pomoli N.
| 8. Sims D.
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10. Serres E. (C)
| 4. Vidal S.
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25. Vescovi S.
| 2. Williams J.
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| Substitutes |
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22. Bavosi F.
| 33. Acuna V.
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35. Calimares S.
| 14. Gentile A.
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21. Heilmann C.
| 3. Osimani J.
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15. Lema N.
| 10. Rodriguez J.
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19. Quinones L.
| 13. Santiso J. (C)
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14. Rodriguez J.
| 9. Traversa B.
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42. Rojas M.
| 24. Zuvich A.
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| Coaches |
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. Garcia L.
| . Taboada L.
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Preview
Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. Peñarol will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1661:1676. (average 83.1:83.8).Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 958:913. (average 87.1:83).
Last Results with these Odds
Peñarol de Montevideo - the odds 1.22 are the expected chance of winning is 75.3%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Liga Basketball | | | 16.06.26 | Aguada - Peñarol de Montevideo | 92:81 | | 12.06.26 | Aguada - Peñarol de Montevideo | 78:71 | | 09.06.26 | Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada | 89:84 | | 03.06.26 | Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada | 99:82 | | 17.04.26 | Peñarol de Montevideo - Aguada | 103:95 | | 09.03.26 | Aguada - Peñarol de Montevideo | 86:80 | | 27.01.26 | Aguada - Peñarol de Montevideo | 91:80 |
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