Match Info

PBA Commissioner's Cup

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Blackwater Bossing		Converge FiberXers

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.4
	7	1.07
	6.23	1.04
	6.96	1.09	Watch
	7.5	1.06
	6.9	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.21 ↑ (2.7)	1.12 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 212.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackwater Bossing
15.3%

Converge FiberXers
84.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackwater Bossing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blackwater Bossing's form might have worsened.

Converge FiberXers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Converge FiberXers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackwater Bossing than the current prediction. (+24.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blackwater Bossing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Converge FiberXers than the current prediction. (-24.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Converge FiberXers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Blackwater Bossing - Converge FiberXers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 100:113

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackwater Bossing won 2.

Blackwater Bossing is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Converge FiberXers has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Blackwater Bossing has had a series of away games.

Converge FiberXers will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Blackwater Bossing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 727:766. (average 90.9:95.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Blackwater Bossing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 448:430. (average 89.6:86).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackwater Bossing Basketball
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
03.05.26	Meralco Bolts - Blackwater Bossing	108:93 ✺
28.04.26	Macau Black Bears - Blackwater Bossing	123:119 ✺
24.04.26	Blackwater Bossing - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel	108:115 ✺
22.04.26	San Miguel Beermen - Blackwater Bossing	120:126 ✺
17.04.26	Phoenix Fuel Masters - Blackwater Bossing	125:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLLWL
- Converge FiberXers
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
02.05.26	Converge FiberXers - NLEX Road Warriors	81:100 ✺
26.04.26	Phoenix Fuel Masters - Converge FiberXers	103:130 ✺
22.04.26	Converge FiberXers - TNT Tropang 5G	97:92 ✺
19.04.26	Magnolia Hotshots - Converge FiberXers	114:97 ✺
15.04.26	Converge FiberXers - Titan Ultra Giant Risers	103:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Philippines Cup
08.11.25	Blackwater Bossing - Converge FiberXers	94:99
13.04.25	Converge FiberXers - Blackwater Bossing	111:80
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
19.01.25	Converge FiberXers - Blackwater Bossing	127:109
Philippines Cup
06.03.24	Blackwater Bossing - Converge FiberXers	90:78
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
08.11.23	Blackwater Bossing - Converge FiberXers	103:84
Philippines - Governors Cup
23.02.23	Converge FiberXers - Blackwater Bossing	98:90
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
30.10.22	Blackwater Bossing - Converge FiberXers	71:77

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Converge FiberXers
Philippines - Governors Cup
30.10.26	Converge FiberXers - Rain or Shine Elasto Painters	✺

Blackwater Bossing - Converge FiberXers