Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 14

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Monza Arena (Monza)


	Blu Basket Bergamo		Fortitudo Bologna

	1	2
	1.63	2.2	Watch
	1.88	1.8
	1.93	1.87
	2	1.72	Watch
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.68	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.38)	1.92 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blu Basket Bergamo
51.4%

Fortitudo Bologna
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blu Basket Bergamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blu Basket Bergamo's performance.

Fortitudo Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortitudo Bologna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blu Basket Bergamo than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blu Basket Bergamo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortitudo Bologna than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortitudo Bologna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Blu Basket Bergamo - Fortitudo Bologna Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blu Basket (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3, OT - Blu Basket (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 161.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Blu Basket (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Hogue D.	6. Anumba S.
21. Lombardi E.	7. Della Rosa G.
11. Loro A.	1. Harris J.
20. Pollone M.	3. Sarto A.
0. Stefanini G.	9. Sorokas P.
Substitutes
12. Bogliardi M.	26. De Vico N.
4. Bosso L.	77. Gamberini F.
44. Guiducci A.	14. Guaiana V.
7. Harrison D.	10. Imbro M.
14. Nobili N.	33. Moretti S.
10. Piccirilli A.
17. Udom M.
Coaches
. Ramagli A.	. Caja A.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Blu Basket may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fortitudo Bologna could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blu Basket Bergamo
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
05.12.25	Cividale - Blu Basket Bergamo	85:83 ✺
21.11.25	Verona - Blu Basket Bergamo	78:66 ✺
16.11.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Scafati	95:93 OT ✺
12.11.25	Rieti - Blu Basket Bergamo	68:88 ✺
09.11.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Juvi Cremona	65:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWL
- Fortitudo Bologna
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
07.12.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Libertas Livorno	66:64 ✺
03.12.25	Avellino Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	85:62 ✺
23.11.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Forlì	81:72 ✺
16.11.25	Baltur Cento - Fortitudo Bologna	80:67 ✺
12.11.25	Mestre - Fortitudo Bologna	58:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLW

Blu Basket Bergamo - Fortitudo Bologna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide