The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boca Juniors 64.6%
Deportivo Libertad 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.5%
56.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.
Deportivo Libertad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Libertad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-22%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Libertad than the current prediction. (+22%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Libertad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Boca Juniors - Deportivo Libertad Predictions
Users Predictions:
Boca Juniors will win
(24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79
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Preview
Neutral location.
Boca Juniors is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Libertad is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Boca Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.
Boca Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 993-967.
Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 514-493.
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