Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Boca Juniors		Deportivo Libertad

	1	2
	1.41	2.7
	1.48	2.45
	1.43	2.6
	1.44	2.6
	1.45	2.79
	1.4	2.75
	1.5	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (2.16)	2.64 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
64.6%

Deportivo Libertad
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.

Deportivo Libertad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Libertad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Libertad than the current prediction. (+22%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Libertad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Boca Juniors - Deportivo Libertad Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Preview

Neutral location.

Boca Juniors is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Libertad is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Boca Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.

Boca Juniors will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 993-967.

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 514-493.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors Basketball
Argentinian LNB
18.12.20	San Martín de Corrientes - Boca Juniors	74:64 ✺
15.12.20	Boca Juniors - Regatas Corrientes	71:67 ✺
14.12.20	La Unión Formosa - Boca Juniors	65:96 ✺
12.12.20	Boca Juniors - Oberá TC	88:80 ✺
10.12.20	Atenas - Boca Juniors	76:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW
- Deportivo Libertad
Argentinian LNB
18.12.20	Deportivo Libertad - Argentino	64:71 ✺
15.12.20	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Libertad	75:73 ✺
14.12.20	Deportivo Libertad - Estudiantes de Bahía Blanca	92:78 ✺
11.12.20	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Deportivo Libertad	78:73 ✺
10.12.20	Deportivo Libertad - Obras Sanitarias	76:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
03.12.19	Deportivo Libertad - Boca Juniors	67:91
10.03.19	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Libertad	82:78
07.12.18	Deportivo Libertad - Boca Juniors	56:79
28.01.17	Deportivo Libertad - Boca Juniors	84:73
14.12.16	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Libertad	77:98
10.03.16	Deportivo Libertad - Boca Juniors	100:83
12.12.15	Boca Juniors - Deportivo Libertad	85:69

Boca Juniors - Deportivo Libertad