Match Info

NBB

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium (Rio de Janeiro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ferraz Salomao Costa D. (Bra)


	Botafogo		Mogi

	1	2
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	3.15	1.28
	3.5	1.29
	2.97	1.35	Watch
	3.2	1.33
	2.89	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (4)	1.34 ↑ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo
30.4%

Mogi
69.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.2%

76.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo's performance.

Mogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mogi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Botafogo - Mogi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Derick Machado	7. Barbosa A.
3. Machado S.	2. Gabriel
7. Matheusinho B.	31. Maicon
22. Matias E.	14. Menca
41. Scheuer P.	13. Paulo
Substitutes
2. Klebinho	50. Andre D.
8. Lele	5. Caldeira
55. Machado L.	6. Chagas V.
33. Moreira A.	11. Hinkle C.
0. Nascimento N.	12. Johnson D.
17. Rodrigues L.	4. Ruivo F.
Coaches
. Balbis J.	. Penna F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.

Recent form of Botafogo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mogi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mogi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mogi is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 805:909. (average 73.2:82.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 405:407. (average 81:81.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Mogi	4	3	1	315:294	0.750
15	Botafogo	2	0	2	159:170	0.000

Outrights of Brazilian NBB for now

Mogi: 26.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo Basketball
Brazilian NBB
21.01.26	Botafogo - São José dos Campos	89:80 ✺
19.01.26	Botafogo - Corinthians Paulista	73:74 ✺
16.01.26	Basquete Cearense - Botafogo	86:82 ✺
13.01.26	Unifacisa - Botafogo	77:68 ✺
29.12.25	Flamengo - Botafogo	104:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL
- Mogi das Cruzes Basquete
Brazilian NBB
22.01.26	Flamengo - Mogi	81:75 ✺
20.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Mogi	60:67 ✺
10.01.26	Mogi - Minas	90:76 ✺
29.12.25	Mogi - Caxias do Sul	71:56 ✺
27.12.25	Paulistano - Mogi	81:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
29.10.25	Mogi - Botafogo	84:44
27.12.24	Botafogo - Mogi	97:85
14.10.24	Mogi - Botafogo	70:72 OT
05.03.24	Botafogo - Mogi	84:87 OT
20.11.23	Mogi - Botafogo	86:81
05.03.20	Mogi - Botafogo	89:61
20.12.19	Botafogo - Mogi	69:79

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