Match Info

NBL - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Location: Sila Sport Complex (Plovdiv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2


	Botev Academic		Shumen

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	3.6
	1.15	4.44
	1.27	3.31	Watch
	1.22	3.75
	1.28	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.3)	3.69 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Academic
75%

Shumen
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Academic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Shumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Academic than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botev Academic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shumen than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shumen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Botev Academic - Shumen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Botev Academic will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Shumen will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Bachev V. (C)	33. Barr J.
4. Paisiev K.	10. Denchev M. (C)
9. Sharp D.	2. Ellis W.
14. Tomic O.	44. Lazarov K.
1. Yow J.	5. Marsh M.
Substitutes
24. Chalakov A.	7. Mustafa B.
8. Chokov M.	24. Sazdov A.
20. Donzo V.	11. Sazdov N.
31. Ivanov K.	8. Stamov D.
0. Komitski I.	88. Stanev V.
33. Ralchev P.	15. Varbanov N.
13. Velikov A.	9. Vuga K.
Coaches
. Ivanov Y.	. Barchovski R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Academic Plovdiv won 5.

Academic Plovdiv is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Shumen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Academic Plovdiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shumen has had a series of home games.

In this match, Academic Plovdiv is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Academic Plovdiv won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1262:1113. (average 84.1:74.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Academic Plovdiv won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 775:657. (average 86.1:73).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Botev Academic	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Shumen	0	0	0	0:0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Academic Plovdiv
Bulgarian NBL
25.03.26	Botev 2012 - Botev Academic	78:68 ✺
22.03.26	Botev Academic - Cherno More Port Varna	84:103 ✺
18.03.26	Beroe - Botev Academic	93:85 ✺
14.03.26	Minyor - Botev Academic	89:84 ✺
09.03.26	Botev Academic - Balkan Botevgrad	77:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BC Shumen
Bulgarian NBL
22.03.26	Shumen - Botev 2012	77:83 ✺
19.03.26	Shumen - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	83:94 ✺
13.03.26	Beroe - Shumen	95:89 ✺
04.03.26	Shumen - Cherno More Port Varna	86:92 ✺
20.02.26	Shumen - Levski Sofia	77:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian NBL
17.01.26	Shumen - Botev Academic	78:90
10.11.25	Botev Academic - Shumen	95:68
05.04.25	Botev Academic - Shumen	84:69
18.01.25	Shumen - Botev Academic	74:76
11.11.24	Botev Academic - Shumen	91:77
10.04.24	Shumen - Botev Academic	88:80
06.03.24	Botev Academic - Shumen	89:85

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