Match Info

NBL - Round 25

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Shumen (Shumen)

Referee: Valchev V. (Bul)


	Shumen		Lokomotiv Plovdiv

	1	2
			Watch
	3.4	1.24
	3.76	1.21
	3.51	1.25	Watch
	3.75	1.22
	3.57	1.25
	2.76	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.8)	1.26 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shumen
26.6%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shumen's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shumen than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shumen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shumen - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:95

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Barr J.	33. Mihov K.
2. Ellis W.	14. Miller K.
44. Lazarov K.	9. Minkov T.
5. Marsh M.	0. Ramsey D.
88. Stanev V.	5. Singleton G.
Substitutes
10. Denchev M. (C)	24. Anderson S.
7. Mustafa B.	6. Durev P.
24. Sazdov A.	13. Gluhchev R.
11. Sazdov N.	7. Iliev I.
8. Stamov D.	16. Kenderov G. (C)
15. Varbanov N.	21. Kikrilis I.
9. Vuga K.
Coaches
. Barchovski R.	. Nikolov A.

Preview

Shumen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lokomotiv Plovdiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shumen has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shumen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 149:203. (average 74.5:101.5).

Including home match between the teams, Shumen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 90:107.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Shumen	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Lok. Plovdiv	0	0	0	0:0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Shumen
Bulgarian NBL
13.03.26	Beroe - Shumen	95:89 ✺
04.03.26	Shumen - Cherno More Port Varna	86:92 ✺
20.02.26	Shumen - Levski Sofia	77:72 ✺
14.02.26	Shumen - Minyor	86:91 ✺
07.02.26	Shumen - Balkan Botevgrad	83:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv Basketball
Bulgarian NBL
14.03.26	Balkan Botevgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	82:90 ✺
08.03.26	Cherno More Port Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	79:76 ✺
04.03.26	Minyor - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	109:103 ✺
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Port Varna	87:88 ✺
21.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist	100:99 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian NBL
28.12.25	Shumen - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	90:107
18.10.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Shumen	96:59

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