Match Info

NBB

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday

Location: Arena BRB Nilson Nelson (Brasília)


	Brasília Basquete		Minas

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.94	1.74
	2.06	1.78
	1.98	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.68)	1.77 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brasília Basquete
47.5%

Minas
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasília Basquete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasília Basquete's form might have worsened.

Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasília Basquete, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minas than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Brasília Basquete - Minas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brasília Basquete will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Minas will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:79

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Cardoso B.	20. Arengo J.
7. Corvalan F.	17. Davis D.
2. Crescenzi K.	1. McCree E.
13. Paulichi R.	24. Paranhos A.
14. Silva B.	0. Williams J.
Substitutes
77. Beller	5. Fischer R.
15. Carbonari R.	9. Fuzaro D.
30. Daniel	23. Rafael Rachel
9. da Silva P.	10. Rodriguez L.
1. Mosquito	15. Silva W.
10. Santana L.	27. Yuri E.
6. Silva G.
Coaches
. Barbosa D.	. Costa L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brasília Basquete won 0.

Brasília Basquete has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Minas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Minas will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brasília Basquete won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1530:1697. (average 76.5:84.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brasília Basquete won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 684:755. (average 76:83.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasília Basquete
Brazilian NBB
07.11.25	União Corinthians - Brasília Basquete	95:88 OT ✺
05.11.25	Caxias do Sul - Brasília Basquete	64:96 ✺
01.11.25	Brasília Basquete - Pinheiros	67:69 ✺
30.10.25	Brasília Basquete - Paulistano	71:54 ✺
25.10.25	Brasília Basquete - Rio Claro	109:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWW
- Minas Basketball
Brazilian NBB
08.11.25	Rio Claro - Minas	74:108 ✺
04.11.25	Minas - Franca	86:70 ✺
01.11.25	Cruzeiro - Minas	76:84 ✺
27.10.25	Pato - Minas	75:76 ✺
23.10.25	Minas - Mogi	79:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
01.04.25	Brasília Basquete - Minas	63:77
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
28.01.25	Minas - Brasília Basquete	61:58
Brazilian NBB
12.10.24	Minas - Brasília Basquete	74:66
17.01.24	Brasília Basquete - Minas	68:111
20.12.23	Minas - Brasília Basquete	91:71
17.02.23	Minas - Brasília Basquete	110:79
19.11.22	Brasília Basquete - Minas	74:94

Upcoming Matches