Match Info

NBB

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)

Referee: Schoenberger F. (Bra)


	Pato		Minas

	1	2
	2.7	1.42
	2.8	1.35
	5.64	1.11	Watch
	2.95	1.36	Watch
	3	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.7)	1.32 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pato
27.8%

Minas
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pato's form might have worsened.

Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minas's recent form is better than expected.

Pato - Minas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 155.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Batista G.	17. Davis D.
24. de Souza M.	9. Fuzaro D.
11. Edu Marilia	24. Paranhos A.
71. Penteado D.	23. Rafael Rachel
5. Thompson T.	27. Yuri E.
Substitutes
3. Euler C.	20. Arengo J.
41. Fidelis J.	5. Fischer R.
17. Gomes N.	1. McCree E.
10. Mateus	10. Rodriguez L.
4. Nakazawa L.	15. Silva W.
34. Zonzini W.	0. Williams J.
Coaches
. Carlos Magno	. Costa L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 1.

Pato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Minas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Pato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 846:1008. (average 70.5:84).

Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 414:504. (average 69:84).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
23.10.25	União Corinthians - Pato	92:88 ✺
21.10.25	Caxias do Sul - Pato	70:63 ✺
01.05.25	Franca - Pato	101:82 ✺
29.04.25	Franca - Pato	84:65 ✺
24.04.25	Pato - Franca	91:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Minas Basketball
Brazilian NBB
23.10.25	Minas - Mogi	79:71 ✺
20.10.25	Minas - São José dos Campos	88:86 OT ✺
18.10.25	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	83:81 ✺
18.06.25	Franca - Minas	86:73 ✺
14.06.25	Minas - Franca	73:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
03.04.25	Pato - Minas	72:75
05.12.24	Minas - Pato	97:70
05.04.24	Pato - Minas	69:77
22.12.23	Minas - Pato	84:75
31.03.23	Minas - Pato	82:90
21.12.22	Pato - Minas	74:88
06.02.22	Pato - Minas	70:101

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