Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: PalaPentassuglia (Brindisi)


	Brindisi		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.47	1.54
	2.43	1.6
	2.26	1.67
	2.43	1.57	Watch
	2.41	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.99)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brindisi
40.1%

Derthona Basket Tortona
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brindisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brindisi's form might have worsened.

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derthona Basket Tortona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brindisi than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brindisi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derthona Basket Tortona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Brindisi - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Users Predictions: Brindisi will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:80

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brindisi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 400-411.

Including matches at home between the teams Brindisi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 168-183.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Brindisi
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.01.24	Basket Pesaro - Brindisi	78:86 ✺
21.01.24	Brindisi - Napoli Basket	77:80 ✺
15.01.24	Virtus Bologna - Brindisi	103:76 ✺
07.01.24	Brindisi - Basket Brescia	88:79 ✺
30.12.23	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Brindisi	75:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLWL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.01.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Reggiana	93:61 ✺
21.01.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Venezia	75:69 ✺
14.01.24	Olimpia Milano - Derthona Basket Tortona	83:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
09.01.24	Galatasaray - Derthona Basket Tortona	95:89 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.01.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Scafati	89:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
08.10.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Brindisi	69:68
02.04.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Brindisi	81:77
06.11.22	Brindisi - Derthona Basket Tortona	86:84
08.05.22	Brindisi - Derthona Basket Tortona	82:99
09.10.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Brindisi	78:87

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