Match Info

Lega A - Round 13

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaFerraris (Casale Monferrato)

Referee: Dionisi A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Derthona Basket Tortona		Reggiana

	1	2
			Watch
	1.52	2.48	Watch
	1.55	2.39
	1.53	2.5
	1.55	2.53	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.41)	2.52 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
62.5%

Reggiana
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Derthona Basket Tortona - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tortona will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Reggiana will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5, OT - Reggiana (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Gorham J.	0. Barford J.
3. Hubb P.	10. Caupain T.
17. Olejniczak D.	55. Cheatham K.
25. Riismaa J.	26. Echenique J.
1. Vital C.	7. Woldetensae T.
Substitutes
13. Baldasso T.	19. Carboni F.
19. Biligha P.	35. Manfredotti L.
7. Chapman B.	20. Severini L.
10. Di Meo E.	4. Thor J.
6. Pecchia A.	16. Uglietti L.
12. Strautins A.	31. Vitali M.
11. Tandia L.	11. Williams B.
Coaches
. Fioretti M.	. Priftis D.

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tortona will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tortona won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 739:697. (average 82.1:77.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tortona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 415:391. (average 83:78.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.12.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Derthona Basket Tortona	71:76 ✺
14.12.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Dinamo Sassari	118:113 OT ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Bologna - Derthona Basket Tortona	92:77 ✺
23.11.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Venezia	90:98 ✺
15.11.25	Udine - Derthona Basket Tortona	90:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLW
- Reggiana BC
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.12.25	Reggiana - Basket Trento	77:68 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
17.12.25	Reggiana - CSM Oradea	90:59 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
13.12.25	Trieste - Reggiana	92:82 OT ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
10.12.25	Virtus Zagreb - Reggiana	90:94 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
06.12.25	Reggiana - Basket Brescia	84:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Reggiana	88:95
Italian Lega A Basketball
25.01.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Reggiana	67:69
09.11.24	Reggiana - Derthona Basket Tortona	86:82
28.01.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Reggiana	93:61
19.11.23	Reggiana - Derthona Basket Tortona	77:90
19.04.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Reggiana	74:68
09.10.22	Reggiana - Derthona Basket Tortona	59:63

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