Match Info

NBL1 North

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Brisbane Capitals		Logan Thunder

	1	2
			Watch
	1.32	2.95
	1.32	3.05
	1.30	3.17	Watch
	1.33	3.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)	3.07 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 193.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Capitals
70%

Logan Thunder
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Logan Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Capitals than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Thunder than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Brisbane Capitals - Logan Thunder Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 101:94

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Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Logan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games.

Recently, Logan has had a series of away games.

In this match, Brisbane is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 327:366. (average 81.8:91.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 171:179. (average 85.5:89.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Capitals
Australian NBL1 North
12.07.25	Gold Coast Rollers - Brisbane Capitals	106:91 ✺
05.07.25	Brisbane Capitals - Ipswich Force	125:130 OT ✺
28.06.25	Brisbane Capitals - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	114:79 ✺
20.06.25	Brisbane Capitals - Mackay Meteors	92:103 ✺
07.06.25	Brisbane Capitals - Rockhampton Rockets	99:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- Logan Thunder
Australian NBL1 North
12.07.25	Rockhampton Rockets - Logan Thunder	93:81 ✺
11.07.25	Mackay Meteors - Logan Thunder	105:97 ✺
05.07.25	Logan Thunder - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	93:108 ✺
28.06.25	Northside Wizards - Logan Thunder	84:93 ✺
14.06.25	Ipswich Force - Logan Thunder	87:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 North
22.06.24	Brisbane Capitals - Logan Thunder	83:86 OT
19.05.23	Logan Thunder - Brisbane Capitals	98:79
03.06.22	Brisbane Capitals - Logan Thunder	88:93
18.06.21	Logan Thunder - Brisbane Capitals	89:77

Brisbane Capitals - Logan Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide