Match Info

EUROPE: EuroBasket - Qualification - Fourth round - Round 5

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Arena Botevgrad (Botevgrad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports Start
Sweden	SVT 2, SVT Play


	Bulgaria		Sweden

	1	2
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.35	3.14
	1.4	2.93	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.39	2.89
	1.31	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.22)	3.04 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bulgaria
69.2%

Sweden
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bulgaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bulgaria's form might have worsened.

Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sweden's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	0%	15.8%

Bulgaria - Sweden Predictions

Users Predictions: Bulgaria will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Ivanov P. Hestia Menorca	35. Birgander S. Murcia
0. Miller-McIntyre C. Crvena zvezda	6. Borg T. Palencia
11. Minchev Y. Spirou Charleroi	18. Gaddefors V. Torun
17. Stoilov E. Hestia Menorca	12. Hakanson L. Murcia
41. Vezenkov A. Olympiacos Piraeus	19. Pantzar M. J. Bilbao
Substitutes
35. Alipiev I. Antwerp Giants	1. Andersson D. Dziki Warszawa
24. Boyanov G. Balkan	13. Czerapowicz C.
34. Dimitrov D. Palencia	99. Lundqvist K. Leyma Coruna
15. Kostadinov K. Tenerife	31. Njie B. Braunschweig
9. Lepichev S. Spartak Pleven	2. Ramstedt A. Valur
22. Toshkov K. Balkan	16. Spires N.
8. Toshkov L. Minyor	7. Terins F. Benfica
Coaches
. Barchovski R.	. Riipinen M.

Preview

In this match Bulgaria is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bulgaria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 141:169 (average 47:56.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bulgaria basketball
EuroBasket
25.11.24	Bulgaria - Montenegro	86:90 ✺
22.11.24	Montenegro - Bulgaria	85:62 ✺
25.02.24	Bulgaria - Germany	67:62 ✺
22.02.24	Sweden - Bulgaria	84:70 ✺
Olympic Games - Basketball
15.08.23	Bulgaria - Iceland	76:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL
- Sweden basketball
EuroBasket
25.11.24	Germany - Sweden	80:61 ✺
22.11.24	Sweden - Germany	73:72 ✺
25.02.24	Montenegro - Sweden	95:70 ✺
22.02.24	Sweden - Bulgaria	84:70 ✺
Olympic Games - Basketball
18.08.23	Sweden - Turkey	84:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
22.02.24	Sweden - Bulgaria	84:70
30.08.12	Sweden - Bulgaria	85:71
15.08.12	Bulgaria - Sweden	N/A

Bulgaria - Sweden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide