Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 34

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Burgos		Cartagena

	1	2
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.7	1.96	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.7	2
	1.69	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.33)	1.98 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
53.3%

Cartagena
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos's form might have worsened.

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burgos - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Alonso A.	13. Faverani V.
31. Brown-Ferguson J.	19. Harguindey A.
15. Czerapowicz C.	0. Santana J.
5. Jackson M.	20. Svejcar S.
10. Parrado A.	10. Webster K.
Substitutes
24. Huelves A.	12. Domenech A.
55. Jofresa G.	2. Garuba S.
1. Nugu M.	11. Idehen E. R.
35. Seoane R.	5. Martin A.
8. Terins F.	1. Polytnice C.
13. Vila R.	4. Rivera I.
25. Zidek J.	15. Rodriguez M.

Preview

In recent matches, Burgos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cartagena is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Burgos will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 255:268. (average 85:89.3).

Including home match between the teams, Burgos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 103:96.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
17	Tizona Burgos	2	0	2	163:195	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Burgos
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
02.05.26	CB Lucentum Alicante - Burgos	92:97 ✺
26.04.26	Melilla - Burgos	81:96 ✺
21.04.26	Burgos - Obradoiro CAB	99:96 OT ✺
10.04.26	Burgos - Estudiantes	76:96 ✺
04.04.26	Menorca - Burgos	88:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 WWWLL
- FC Cartagena CB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
02.05.26	Cartagena - Palencia	72:82 ✺
26.04.26	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Cartagena	91:82 ✺
22.04.26	Cartagena - Zamora	64:78 ✺
19.04.26	Fibwi Palma - Cartagena	77:80 ✺
11.04.26	Cartagena - Menorca	79:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
17.01.26	Cartagena - Burgos	89:87 OT
23.04.25	Cartagena - Burgos	83:65
11.12.24	Burgos - Cartagena	103:96

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