Match Info
Primera FEB - Round 21Date: 15 February 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Spain | LaLiga+ |
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Burgos |
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Zamora |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zamora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Burgos - Zamora Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:85 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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5. Jackson M.
| 15. Lo Kabir O.
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10. Parrado A.
| 13. Martinez A.
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35. Seoane R.
| 2. Roberts T.
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8. Terins F.
| 3. Rogers C.
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13. Vila R.
| 21. van Zegeren J.
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| Substitutes |
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33. Alonso A.
| 14. Kristensen D.
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60. Alonso A.
| 17. Naspler T.
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31. Brown-Ferguson J.
| 55. Paukste J.
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21. Gil G.
| 9. Peris J.
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24. Huelves A.
| 4. Round J.
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55. Jofresa G.
| 34. Thrastarson S.
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25. Zidek J.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3.Burgos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Zamora has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Zamora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Burgos might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 862:813. (average 78.4:73.9).Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 393:379. (average 78.6:75.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 15 | Zamora | 2 | 0 | 2 | 130:152 | 2 |
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| 17 | Tizona Burgos | 2 | 0 | 2 | 163:195 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;