Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 17

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Cartagena		Burgos

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	1.76	1.88	Watch
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.1	1.66
	2.15	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.73)	1.72 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
45.9%

Burgos
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cartagena's form might have worsened.

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Cartagena - Burgos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Domenech A.	60. Alonso A.
2. Garuba S.	5. Jackson M.
11. Idehen E. R.	35. Seoane R.
4. Rivera I.	13. Vila R.
10. Webster K.	25. Zidek J.
Substitutes
13. Faverani V.	33. Alonso A.
19. Harguindey A.	31. Brown-Ferguson J.
5. Martin A.	21. Gil G.
1. Polytnice C.	24. Huelves A.
15. Rodriguez M.	55. Jofresa G.
20. Svejcar S.	10. Parrado A.
3. Yanez Gambin D.	8. Terins F.

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 179:168. (average 89.5:84).

Including home match between the teams, Cartagena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 83:65.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
17	Tizona Burgos	2	0	2	163:195	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena CB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
11.01.26	Melilla - Cartagena	84:91 ✺
04.01.26	Cartagena - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	75:88 ✺
28.12.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Cartagena	95:77 ✺
20.12.25	Cartagena - Básquet Coruña	80:89 ✺
17.12.25	Cartagena - Estela	68:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- CB Burgos
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
11.01.26	Burgos - Menorca	85:102 ✺
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
07.01.26	Estudiantes - Burgos	96:70 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
28.12.25	Palencia - Burgos	91:76 ✺
21.12.25	Burgos - CB Lucentum Alicante	72:85 ✺
17.12.25	Burgos - Palmer Basket	95:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
23.04.25	Cartagena - Burgos	83:65
11.12.24	Burgos - Cartagena	103:96

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