Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 9

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 5


	Bursaspor		Samsunspor

	1	2
	1.16	4.4	Watch
	1.18	4.55	Watch
	1.19	4.67
	1.19	4.67
	1.17	4.5
	1.18	4.45
	1.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.33)	4.55 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
79.4%

Samsunspor
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bursaspor's performance.

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samsunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bursaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samsunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Bursaspor - Samsunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Bursaspor will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:75

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ TBL).

Bursaspor is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Samsunspor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bursaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bursaspor is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bursaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 239-215.

Including matches at home between the teams Bursaspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 167-138.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor Basketball
Champions League Basketball
21.11.23	Baskets Bonn - Bursaspor	82:92 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
17.11.23	Galatasaray - Bursaspor	80:82 ✺
12.11.23	Bursaspor - Bahcesehir Koleji	104:91 ✺
05.11.23	Karşıyaka - Bursaspor	95:75 ✺
29.10.23	Bursaspor - Çağdaş Bodrum Spor	83:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWLW
- Samsunspor DSİ
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
18.11.23	Samsunspor - Darüşşafaka	90:98 ✺
11.11.23	Türk Telekom BK - Samsunspor	89:69 ✺
05.11.23	Samsunspor - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	73:93 ✺
29.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	83:53 ✺
20.10.23	Samsunspor - Petkim Spor	67:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish TBL
20.01.18	Bursaspor - Samsunspor	76:63
22.04.17	Bursaspor - Samsunspor	91:75
07.01.17	Samsunspor - Bursaspor	77:72

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