Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 12

Date: 30 December 2024, Monday

Location: Tofas Spor Salonu (Bursa)


	Bursaspor		Yalovaspor

	1	2
	1.18	4.1
	1.17	4.7
	1.11	4.38
	1.17	4.67	Watch
	1.17	4.5
	1.19	4.49
	1.17	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.42)	4.51 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
79.4%

Yalovaspor
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bursaspor's performance.

Yalovaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yalovaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bursaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yalovaspor than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yalovaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Bursaspor - Yalovaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Bursaspor will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gavrilovic A.	8. Bayram K.
15. Grantham D.	5. Johnson J.
6. Michineau D.	11. Krampelj M.
23. Mutaf D.	3. McConico T.
2. Pipes JR S.	21. Nichols D.
Substitutes
4. Al O. (C)	2. Guler B.
3. Brown J.	15. Guven E.
32. Candan B.	1. Hill A.
17. Cardak U.	77. Kapucu M. (C)
26. Nihat M.	23. Ozcelik E.
5. Pacaci M.	13. Peterka M.
20. Sharma J.	25. Sherfield G.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ TBL).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bursaspor won 5.

Recent matches Bursaspor is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Yalovaspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bursaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bursaspor is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bursaspor won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 802:749 (average 80.2:74.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Bursaspor won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 466:459 (average 77.7:76.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
22.12.24	Büyükçekmece - Bursaspor	84:87 ✺
13.12.24	Bursaspor - Galatasaray	82:105 ✺
08.12.24	Beşiktaş - Bursaspor	86:95 ✺
30.11.24	Bursaspor - Karşıyaka	70:76 ✺
17.11.24	Merkezefendi - Bursaspor	74:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLW
- Yalovaspor Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
21.12.24	Yalovaspor - Mersin SK	93:59 ✺
16.12.24	Yalovaspor - Büyükçekmece	65:85 ✺
09.12.24	Galatasaray - Yalovaspor	79:69 ✺
01.12.24	Yalovaspor - Beşiktaş	71:91 ✺
16.11.24	Karşıyaka - Yalovaspor	104:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
26.09.24	Bursaspor - Yalovaspor	79:74
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
16.02.22	Yalovaspor - Bursaspor	65:81
25.09.21	Bursaspor - Yalovaspor	86:85
Turkish TBL
02.02.19	Bursaspor - Yalovaspor	70:64
19.10.18	Yalovaspor - Bursaspor	79:94
10.02.18	Bursaspor - Yalovaspor	99:98
21.10.17	Yalovaspor - Bursaspor	78:90

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