Match Info

CIBACOPA

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Polideportivo Juan S Millán (Culiacán) 🌤️ ...


	Caballeros de Culiacán		Rayos de Hermosillo

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.07	1.7
	1.98	1.71	Watch
	1.97	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.7)	1.68 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caballeros de Culiacán
45.6%

Rayos de Hermosillo
54.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caballeros de Culiacán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caballeros de Culiacán's form might have worsened.

Rayos de Hermosillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayos de Hermosillo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caballeros de Culiacán than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caballeros de Culiacán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayos de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayos de Hermosillo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caballeros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bissainthe R.	10. Banegas J.
15. Hamilton I. (C)	3. Ferguson R. (C)
11. Hughes J.	5. Gaddy K.
9. Jones T.	33. Newton W.
5. Peters R.	32. Toney T.
Substitutes
55. Allen S.	14. Bieshaar T.
10. Herrera E.	58. Dominguez R.
12. Morachis L.	9. Gooden C.
7. Payton-Clottey E.	16. Mendoza E.
4. Porter B. A.	17. Peralta A.
8. Valle R.	7. Valenzuela J.
	35. Winston J.
Coaches
. Quintero G.	. Rodriguez R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caballeros won 3.

Caballeros has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Rayos de Hermosillo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Caballeros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Caballeros won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1392:1492. (average 81.9:87.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Caballeros won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 732:808. (average 81.3:89.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Rayos de Hermosillo - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 46.7%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caballeros de Culiacán
Mexican CIBACOPA
06.03.26	Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo	83:93 ✺
04.03.26	Pioneros de Los Mochis - Caballeros de Culiacán	107:98 ✺
03.03.26	Pioneros de Los Mochis - Caballeros de Culiacán	100:87 ✺
01.03.26	Caballeros de Culiacán - Ángeles CD México	92:118 ✺
28.02.26	Caballeros de Culiacán - Ángeles CD México	102:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW
- Rayos de Hermosillo
Mexican CIBACOPA
06.03.26	Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo	83:93 ✺
04.03.26	Venados de Mazatlán - Rayos de Hermosillo	76:83 ✺
03.03.26	Venados de Mazatlán - Rayos de Hermosillo	93:87 ✺
25.02.26	Rayos de Hermosillo - Toros Laguna	77:90 ✺
24.02.26	Rayos de Hermosillo - Toros Laguna	85:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican CIBACOPA
06.03.26	Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo	83:93
23.04.25	Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo	95:99 OT
22.04.25	Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo	88:80
16.03.25	Rayos de Hermosillo - Caballeros de Culiacán	86:92
15.03.25	Rayos de Hermosillo - Caballeros de Culiacán	65:77
15.05.24	Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo	72:94
14.05.24	Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo	78:84

Caballeros de Culiacán - Rayos de Hermosillo