Match Info

Elite 2 - Round 28

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Palais des Sports Caen la mer (Caen)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	LNB


	Caen		Hermine de Nantes Atlantique

	1	2
	1.63	2.05
	1.61	2.34
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.54)	2.22 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Caen
58.1%

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermine de Nantes Atlantique than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Caen - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Akanno D.	90. Bourhis L.
9. Cavallo C. (C)	27. Dossou J.
1. Chambers S.	28. Kangudia M.
91. Poirier D.	23. Mienandi H. (C)
5. Rojewski A.	24. Van Eyck D.
Substitutes
20. Briki S.	17. Boum R.
22. Cassier L.	2. Bubu
10. Davis R.	8. Farkas N.
3. Demahis-Ballou R.	7. Gassaud D.
12. Facey K.	13. Manerlax C.
18. Golitin Y.
7. Kone K.
Coaches
. Eberlin S.	. Valin R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caen won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Caen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 571:580. (average 81.6:82.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 249:253. (average 83:84.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
3	Caen	3	3	0	300:279	1.000
18	Nantes	3	1	2	222:233	0.333

Last Results with these Odds

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.4%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caen Basket Calvados
French Elite 2
17.03.26	Caen - Hyères-Toulon Var Basket	104:95 OT ✺
13.03.26	SPO Rouen Basket - Caen	71:59 ✺
06.03.26	Caen - ADA Blois	82:71 ✺
17.02.26	ASC Denain-Voltaire PH - Caen	87:58 ✺
13.02.26	Caen - Orléans Loiret	70:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLL
- Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
French Elite 2
17.03.26	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Champagne Chalons-Reims	95:72 ✺
13.03.26	ADA Blois - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	105:99 ✺
06.03.26	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Quimper	91:75 ✺
17.02.26	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	97:77 ✺
13.02.26	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - SPO Rouen Basket	107:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
21.11.25	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Caen	87:78
08.04.25	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Caen	82:87
29.10.24	Caen - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	89:77
23.04.19	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Caen	90:92 OT (81:81)
11.01.19	Caen - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	69:81
24.04.18	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Caen	68:65
12.01.18	Caen - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	91:95 OT (79:79)

Upcoming Matches